Bettor Is Best?
Will markets for prediction be any better at guessing the future than ‘experts’? Can they be manipulated? What will be, will be, but people want to see tomorrow, today. Our curiosity birthed oracles, astrologers, crystal gazers, and their analogues. When superstition became unfashionable, “experts” took over. And they could be spectacularly inaccurate, too: days before…