A strait does not have to be closed to be weaponised. It only has to be made conditional. That is the danger now visible at Hormuz, where transit is being treated, not as a right under international law, but as leverage, in a power struggle. For India, this isn’t a distant legal dispute. It’s a question of exposure. India imports about 60% of its LPG consumption and roughly 90% of those imports pass through Hormuz. If access through Hormuz Strait becomes discretionary, its effects will not stay at sea. They’ll surface in freight costs, insurance premiums, household fuel prices and domestic anxiety.
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Views expressed above are the author’s own.
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